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Taliban in Afghanistan: Why are Pakistan, China and Russia reluctant to recognize the Taliban government? |
Taliban in Afghanistan: Why are Pakistan, China and
Russia reluctant to recognize the Taliban government?
Pakistan's Prime Minister
Imran Khan has said that if he (the Taliban) does not form a coalition
government, civil war could break out in the coming days. The result will be an
unstable and chaotic Afghanistan.
According to the Chinese
Foreign Ministry, China hopes that all factions in Afghanistan will work
together to make decisions in line with the aspirations of its people and the
international community, and to build an inclusive political structure.
Russian Foreign Minister
Sergei Lavrov said: "The most important thing is that the promises they
(the Taliban) have made publicly should be fulfilled. That is our first
priority. "
The statements come from
three countries that have played a key role in the Doha peace talks and the
formation of a Taliban interim government, and seemingly support the current
Taliban government in Afghanistan.
However, despite the
Taliban's open support and convincing the world that the Taliban have now
changed, the three countries have not yet recognized the Taliban government in
Afghanistan.
When Pakistan, China and
Russia are asked why they are not recognizing the Taliban government, they are
committed to forming a comprehensive government, adhering to the aspirations of
the international community, distancing themselves from terrorist organizations
and progressive thinking in governance. Terms seem to be missing.
All three countries have
their own interests in Afghanistan.
Pakistan sees this
opportunity in the context of enmity with India. The previous government in
Afghanistan was leaning towards India but the current Taliban government has
good relations with Pakistan.
Both China and Russia were
unhappy with US dominance in Afghanistan. His goal was to fill the vacuum that
would arise when the United States left. China is also monitoring Afghanistan's
resources.
Russia wants to prevent any
spread of Islamic bigotry in Central Asian countries and reduce American influence
in the region, and if that happens, it will create opportunities for Russia.
But despite all this, the
question arises as to why these three countries are reluctant to recognize the
Taliban government.
And the second question is
how these countries want to advance their relations with the Taliban?
'Recognition reduces stress'
International affairs
experts believe that recognizing the Taliban government is a card that can
increase pressure on the Taliban government. China, Russia and Pakistan want to
hold the card for now but at the same time they do not want to take any risk.
Professor Harsh V. Pant,
head of the Department of Foreign Affairs at King's College London, said:
"If these three countries recognize the Taliban government on this
occasion, they will have nothing to take advantage of. At that point, they can
take advantage of their needs. "
"But once the Taliban
government is recognized, the decision cannot be reversed. After making this
decision, these countries will have to defend their decision. It is better for
these countries to wait for now. In this way, these countries are not going
against the international community.
At the same time, the bias
of the Taliban leadership binds the governments of these countries. The way the
existing Taliban was tried to be presented separately from the 1996 Taliban,
and the talk of forming a new liberal government in Afghanistan, does not seem
to be happening.
The Taliban government is
about a month away, but so far there are no positive signs. There are still
doubts about women's rights. Co-education for boys and girls is prohibited.
"There are negative
reports about the Taliban," says Professor Pant. That is why the great
powers of the world are not in a hurry to recognize them. In such a situation,
if China, Russia and Pakistan recognize the Taliban government, differences may
arise between the international community on this issue. This is against the
international consensus. "
"In fact, these
countries are trying to create a conducive environment for international
support for the Taliban government. The main agenda of Imran Khan's speech at
the UN General Assembly was to persuade the world to recognize the Taliban. The
more countries move in this direction, the stronger Pakistan will be in its policy
towards the Taliban.
The implementation of Sharia
has also been discussed. There have also been incidents of people hanging
bodies openly at intersections and people are still being evacuated from
different areas.
In this situation, it seems
that the radicalism in the Taliban government is growing instead of
diminishing, which is being viewed with international concern. At the same
time, there are fears that other extremist groups in Afghanistan may be
encouraged in the current context.
Fear of growing Islamic extremism.
From the beginning, Russia,
China and Pakistan have insisted that Afghanistan's territory should not be
used against them under the Taliban regime. Pakistan has been voicing its
concerns about the TTP, while China fears that the East Turkestan Islamic
Movement will not strengthen in its Xinjiang province and Russia wants to
maintain peace with its neighbors.
Tajiks and Uzbeks are angry
at the way the Taliban have killed political opponents in the Panjshir Valley.
Kazakhstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan are close to Russia. It will be difficult
for Russia to escape this growing resentment.
Sanjay K Bhardwaj, a
professor at Jawaharlal Nehru University's Center for South Asian Studies, says
the radicalism in the Taliban government will not be limited to Afghanistan.
This is what is bothering Russia, China and Pakistan.
"Interestingly, the
Taliban government is overwhelmed by the Haqqani organization and the entire
world knows about the gathering's one-sided conduct.That is why these three
countries are talking about a comprehensive government so that a liberal
Taliban government cannot be used against them.
Different issues of Pakistan
Pakistan's problems are somewhat different from those of China and Russia.
Not only is Pakistan frightened by the growing terrorist activities, but its economic situation is not so stable.
Pakistan is currently on the gray list of the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) and is subject to financial sanctions. In such a situation, support for a hardline Taliban government could further tarnish Pakistan's image in the international community.
Teacher Sanjay Bhardwaj says, "Things have changed a great deal since 1996. Prior, the world didn't mind at all the thing was occurring in Afghanistan. Presently the entire world is discussing common liberties.
Apart from Pakistan, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates were the first countries to recognize the first Taliban government, and now they are both silent on the issue. That is why Pakistan cannot afford to take such a big step at the moment.
Amir Rana, director of the Pakistan Institute for Peace Studies, said: "Even when Pakistan recognized the Taliban in the past, it did not yield good results, so this time Pakistan is cautious and stands with the international community." Wants to be
He added that despite not acknowledging, Pakistan's support is for the Taliban. Meanwhile, aid is being provided and trade issues are being discussed. Things that happen in bilateral relations are active here too, but Pakistan is hesitant for legal and diplomatic reasons.
Aamir Rana also referred to
the security concerns facing Pakistan in such way. "The issue of mental
fighting, regardless, is likely the most unsettling issue in Pakistan and
Pakistan is endeavoring to descend on the Taliban to take action against the
TTP," he said.
"Pakistan will have to
find a solution to this problem on its own, and the kind of support that
Pakistan expected does not seem possible. But more important than the TTP in
the broader context is the stability in Afghanistan and the need for Pakistan
to maintain its lead in the region.
Is it possible to form an inclusive government in
Afghanistan?
How ready are the Taliban for the inclusive government that is being pushed around the world? This question is very important.
The United States, India, Russia, China and Pakistan all want an inclusive government in their own interests. Will the Taliban be able to take all these countries into confidence?
Harsh Pant believes that it
is very difficult to form a comprehensive government under the Taliban at this
time. If they had wanted to, they would have tried to find a political solution
to the problem instead of using violence in Panjshir. This quarrel is not over
yet.
However, the international community is pushing for an inclusive government because the Taliban themselves will not be able to take control of Afghanistan without a comprehensive government.
It could lead to a civil war
and reduce the chances of economic growth and foreign aid. And this situation
could affect China's economic interests in Afghanistan.
What kind of challenges does the Taliban face?
The Taliban government has
been constantly trying to get it recognized internationally. The Taliban
recently requested that a Taliban representative from Afghanistan address the
UN General Assembly.
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